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Home > Regional Housing Strategy > Urban renaissance and dealing with changing demand

Regional Priority 1: Urban renaissance and dealing with changing demand

Issue

Changing demand for housing has been an increasingly high profile issue at both regional and national level over recent years, and is central to the challenges faced by the North West in achieving our ambitions for an urban renaissance. While overall demand for housing across the region remains strong, there is a growing contrast between the hot spots and other communities where increasing numbers of vacant and abandoned properties, static or falling prices, and often high levels of turnover are found. The North West has the biggest concentrations of low demand areas in the country, with some of the extremes of housing market collapse being found in parts of Greater Manchester, Lancashire and Merseyside.

The causes of low demand are complex, and include structural economic and demographic changes; the interactions between rising aspirations, increased prosperity, and increased housing choice; and the long term impact of planning policies. This has helped fuel the decentralisation of population from the urban cores to the high demand suburban and semi-rural housing markets, and the affordability issues they face. Previous interventions have focused on the on the renovation of existing property rather than a gradual restructuring of markets necessary to keep them in tune with changing aspirations.

The case for action

Both Regional Planning Guidance and the Regional Economic Strategy place great emphasis on the need to achieve an urban renaissance in the North West, as a key contributor to both economic success and to the achievement of a more sustainable, higher quality physical and social environment for the North West's communities. The impact of housing market failure is a threat to the health, well being and economic competitiveness of the region, as well as having a devastating effect on quality of life in the worst affected communities.

Confirmation in the Communities Plan of resources totalling £500 million for the nine Market Renewal Pathfinders nationally between 2003/04 and 2005/06 is a clear signal of Government's intention to deal with low demand and abandonment. Four of the Pathfinders are in the North West - East Lancashire (Blackburn, Burnley, Hyndburn, Pendle and Rossendale), Manchester and Salford, Merseyside (Liverpool, Sefton and Wirral), and Oldham and Rochdale. Our four Pathfinder partnerships are working on long-term strategic plans to achieve sustained and radical improvement in the housing markets in their areas and, more importantly, the quality of life for the people who live there. The success of these strategies will, in the medium term, depend upon their ability to attract back the investment by private sector organisations and individuals that has drained away over recent years as local housing markets have collapsed. At localised level, the importance of factors such as the quality of local schools and childcare facilities, the incidence of crime and anti-social behaviour, accessibility of retail and health facilities or affordable public transport is often much greater than the physical quality of the housing stock in determining the popularity of an area. Adopting the broad approach set out in the national Neighbourhood Renewal strategy , looking for a comprehensive approach to the whole range of issues at play within communities, is clearly essential.

As the Communities Plan acknowledges, the Pathfinders nationally cover only about half of the homes affected by low demand and abandonment. There are significant areas across the North West in this category. We also have a great deal of housing which, while not suffering from the worst extremes of low demand, can objectively be assessed as being "at risk". The latest CURS report finds a total of 1.038 million households to be at risk from changing demand, or 37% of the region's homes. While many of these are within the Pathfinders, significant numbers are not. Outside the M62 corridor, in addition to East Lancashire, parts of West Cumbria, Furness, Morecambe and the Fylde coast, Skelmersdale and Preston are among the areas showing similar characteristics (see Figure 2). Local authority estimates of properties already in low demand at 1 April 2002 in the North West total 438,000.

Figure 2: Areas at risk from changing demand: Stage 3 (CURS, 2003)
Areas at risk from changing demand: Stage 3 (CURS, 2003)



Delivering change

The issues facing many urban areas in the North West are, as outlined briefly above, complex and challenging. Achieving a successful urban renaissance is vital to the economic and social future of the region. The region's strategic priorities will be to:

Priority 1.1

Maximise the positive impact of the market renewal Pathfinders in their local housing markets.

Priority 1.2

Develop a targeted programme of strategic activity to prevent market failure in other areas at risk from low demand, applying and adapting lessons from the Pathfinders and elsewhere for use in other areas suffering from low demand. These activities should form part of comprehensive neighbourhood renewal strategies, specifically in:

  • the North West's coastal towns;
  • other Neighbourhood Renewal Fund areas; and
  • the remainder of the North West Metropolitan Area.

These priorities will be delivered by a combination of investment and other activity by local authorities, the private sector, housing associations and many other local and sub-regional players, including the market renewal Pathfinders themselves. At regional level, the North West Development Agency, English Partnerships and a variety of Government and European programmes delivered by the Government Office and its partners will all have important parts to play. The planning system at regional and local level will also be crucial if the objective of transforming housing markets is to be achieved.

The Board will seek to influence and co-ordinate other strategies, decisions and investment impacting on the urban renaissance of the North West, including economic development, transport, education, health and the forthcoming Regional Spatial Strategy, to maximise their collective contribution to these priorities to help achieve sustainable, successful urban communities.

The Board will, through the single housing pot, seek to invest in the restructuring of the North West's housing stock to meet future patterns of demand and aspiration, and to encourage similar investment from others, particularly the private sector. It will engage with the four housing market renewal Pathfinders as their strategies emerge, to ensure alignment between the Pathfinders' plans and broader regional and sub-regional strategies. It will encourage neighbouring authorities to develop complementary strategies.

In setting out its own investment strategy, the Board's priorities for the use of the single housing pot will be:

SHP Priority 1. Maximising the positive impact of the market renewal Pathfinders by continuing to direct mainstream housing capital investment in support of the additional Pathfinder resources as part of the overall package available to those areas. This will apply both to resources for local authorities and for investment via the Housing Corporation for housing associations, in the Pathfinder areas :

SHP Priority 2. Supporting the prevention of market failure in other areas at risk from low demand. This investment will be focused on West Cumbria and Furness, Blackpool, Fleetwood and Morecambe.

The Board recognise the need for further work in developing the strategies in Pathfinder local authorities, but expect intervention to concentrate increasingly on dealing with low demand and related issues in support of the Pathfinders. An Urban Regeneration Company for West Cumbria and Furness is at an early stage of development, and more work with the Development Agency and others will be required to establish both the priorities for housing intervention and their relationship to the achievement of the broader regeneration vision for the area. A similar strategic approach is required in the coastal towns of Blackpool, Fleetwood and Morecambe, building upon work already underway with local authorities, the North West Development Agency and other partners.

Outcomes

The programme of collective interventions, including the Board's own contributions, is intended to help secure outcomes including:

  • Reduction in the incidence of low demand for housing and prevention of low demand from occurring in 'at risk' areas
  • Stabilisation and strengthening of local communities
  • Building integrated communities across social, racial and faith divides
  • Improvement in the design and condition of the housing stock, and resulting benefits in:
    • Improving energy efficiency and reducing fuel poverty
    • Improving public health through reduction in incidence of damp, cold, overcrowded and unsanitary living accommodation
    • Contributing to the achievement of the Government's Decent Homes targets
  • Improvements in the design and quality of the physical environment in neighbourhoods

In the medium term, ongoing investment by the public and private sector and a co-ordinated strategic approach should deliver broader outcomes, including an enhanced contribution to the economic potential of the region as the urban areas become increasingly attractive places to live, work and invest. This should in turn relieve some of the pressure currently experienced in high demand, high value areas of the North West.

The Board expect investment of single housing pot resources under this priority to be focused mainly on:

  1. remodelling or demolition of obsolete housing stock;
  2. repair and renovation of housing stock with a long term viable future; and
  3. construction of new and replacement housing or use of released sites for other uses as appropriate.

Investment using the 'New Tools' and Regulatory Reform Order powers will also be encouraged, as will the adoption of Lifetime Homes principles in both new build and renovation projects.


More work

While leading the debate on housing market renewal over the last few years, the region is still at a relatively early stage in developing approaches to dealing with the multiple challenges of changing demand for housing. A mixture of local, sub-regional and regional tools are now available or being developed. Greater freedoms for local authorities on private sector renewal are a step forward, and may produce local good practice and innovation to be shared with others. The use of the planning system as part of the response to changing housing markets is a particular challenge, and will require careful monitoring.

More substantially, the impact of four Pathfinder projects within a single region means that detailed monitoring of housing markets across the North West will be a vital task if we are to try to manage what we hope to be a transformational change in those four areas without undermining what are sometimes already fragile markets around them. As announced in the Communities Plan , ODPM are working on a housing demand assessment guidance tool. Regionally, the North West Regional Intelligence Unit are funding a research project into housing and migration issues, aimed at developing a system which might be used to regularly monitor the operation of housing markets within the region, including the links between the low and high demand areas and the impacts of developments in one on the other. This could be an important tool for the Board and the region as a whole.


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